2024 Presidential Prediction 538

2024 Presidential Prediction 538. Updated daily, includes state and national polls for every matchup, including biden, harris, trump, and desantis. 1 the model is the direct descendant.


2024 Presidential Prediction 538

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Former president donald trump and current vice president kamala harris are the presidential election favorites for 2024.

Our Model Currently Predicts That Donald Trump Has A 56% Chance Of Winning.

The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is.

The 538 Team Reacts To President Joe Biden Dropping Out Of The 2024 Race, In This Installment Of The 538 Politics Podcast.

It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election.

2024 Presidential Prediction 538 Images References :

‘What Some Call Chaos Can Also Be Called Competition’.

This article explains how we did it:

Nate Silver, Political Pollster And Founder Of Fivethirtyeight Released His Highly Anticipated Forecasting Model For The 2024 Presidential Election.

Updated daily, includes state and national polls for every matchup, including biden, harris, trump, and desantis.